Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1365.806660 1559.457060 1776.482285 2038.792878 2348.657873 2704.756713 3147.422244
2025-08-10 1105.515319 1365.875687 1686.824449 2116.180921 2682.544556 3414.041454 4446.719824
2025-08-17 954.526695 1238.927394 1611.314290 2143.508598 2899.359753 3957.559196 5593.747934
2025-08-24 842.962952 1137.587743 1542.386315 2152.845633 3074.713889 4456.836015 6770.557240
2025-08-31 758.701590 1057.862806 1485.959194 2162.049077 3239.259938 4955.937297 8045.893480
2025-09-07 698.849101 1003.221069 1454.992191 2199.129753 3445.097833 5548.313694 9608.222260
2025-09-14 625.612908 919.139371 1367.744604 2132.278900 3465.641737 5827.040846 10664.928899
2025-09-21 565.436407 848.072870 1291.512039 2070.931592 3481.983732 6094.964808 11758.561394
2025-09-28 512.447556 782.752463 1216.829039 2001.179465 3469.991671 6303.494734 12776.474876
2025-10-05 492.660381 768.715858 1224.284101 2074.842012 3733.394736 7095.651617 15291.710389
2025-10-12 468.334438 744.569870 1211.561070 2109.286144 3924.955204 7776.853422 17753.555743
2025-10-19 447.049775 723.437174 1201.522031 2146.691713 4127.271502 8520.974923 20613.726230
2025-10-26 424.286128 698.849022 1184.820660 2173.203353 4320.738002 9310.528618 23954.196757
2025-11-02 409.570394 687.349060 1191.172943 2247.500978 4634.668776 10471.200388 28881.378855
2025-11-09 390.762642 666.547938 1177.555350 2278.071422 4853.829312 11448.638079 33685.578713
2025-11-16 371.312579 642.798976 1155.730644 2287.956379 5025.573337 12345.480069 38659.125303
2025-11-23 353.645331 620.877236 1135.242606 2297.873543 5199.252962 13295.137474 44328.631888
2025-11-30 340.529355 606.551223 1128.507127 2337.752324 5457.284271 14566.115742 52004.918900
2025-12-07 317.767896 571.641336 1076.377133 2265.859543 5406.315174 14874.885107 55794.166396
2025-12-14 297.506087 540.266012 1029.029917 2199.912944 5361.286525 15195.819006 59862.988027
2025-12-21 278.105201 509.327964 980.172062 2124.964725 5279.509953 15378.593802 63420.700017
2025-12-28 273.163765 507.326318 993.204994 2204.115726 5657.147014 17265.033495 77100.426591
2026-01-04 265.038655 498.148896 989.696086 2241.139803 5917.850380 18822.246351 90346.090115